Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.006530 1.173242 1.352470 1.558730 1.788776 2.036692 2.323282
2025-05-11 0.726274 0.957379 1.229144 1.568535 1.977047 2.448884 3.030782
2025-05-18 0.549037 0.811856 1.147163 1.596750 2.173438 2.877680 3.791017
2025-05-25 0.406686 0.673194 1.040785 1.566908 2.280905 3.195562 4.432759
2025-06-01 0.320657 0.588951 0.985862 1.586995 2.442301 3.581666 5.175502
2025-06-08 0.250463 0.510354 0.921996 1.579546 2.556555 3.904403 5.846412
2025-06-15 0.213941 0.476812 0.917850 1.653752 2.785697 4.390711 6.756544
2025-06-22 0.178603 0.436383 0.894603 1.692438 2.960948 4.806589 7.585244
2025-06-29 0.140493 0.380640 0.835470 1.664240 3.028313 5.066300 8.201067
2025-07-06 0.117470 0.349205 0.813189 1.692079 3.181085 5.454805 9.013738
2025-07-13 0.097771 0.319485 0.788680 1.711599 3.318962 5.824367 9.810257
2025-07-20 0.082191 0.294877 0.769668 1.737368 3.466360 6.212464 10.646125
2025-07-27 0.066187 0.264820 0.736031 1.735089 3.570610 6.545538 11.424786
2025-08-03 0.050783 0.230599 0.687402 1.698725 3.613381 6.783963 12.070749
2025-08-10 0.041070 0.209410 0.663869 1.708349 3.736808 7.156881 12.938470
2025-08-17 0.030910 0.181631 0.618909 1.668209 3.765697 7.374123 13.567621
2025-08-24 0.025130 0.166697 0.602585 1.685504 3.900184 7.770698 14.492842
2025-08-31 0.019556 0.149184 0.575674 1.676054 3.982157 8.080283 15.286563
2025-09-07 0.017392 0.145786 0.586933 1.753021 4.234900 8.691746 16.589547
2025-09-14 0.014593 0.137512 0.582545 1.793177 4.417009 9.186467 17.714143
2025-09-21 0.010878 0.121153 0.550246 1.763535 4.457166 9.432487 18.432739
2025-09-28 0.008902 0.113316 0.542710 1.792598 4.617336 9.896392 19.527688
2025-10-05 0.007147 0.105163 0.532249 1.812990 4.760153 10.333355 20.588175